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Sunday, November 30, 2014

NIFTY ascending broadening wedge pattern updated

NIFTY DAILY CHARTS
ascending broadening wedge pattern updated
nifty may face res at upper blue T/L which is moving up by approx 9 pts per day
from 7809 to 8180(upmove of 371 pts in 41 sessions)
from 8180 on 8th sep to 28th nov nifty had taken 52 sessions
8180+(52X9=468)=8648
on friday 28th nov as per calculation upper blue T/L res was near 8648
and next week for five trading days upper range will move up by 5X9pt=45 pts
8648+45=8693 may be upper(resistance) levels for next week
first indication of bearishness will be break below pink lines
range is contracting b/w upper blue T/L and lower pink lines
will it give a B/O on tuesday 2nd dec(much awaited RBI monetary policy)
or nifty will keep itself within the contracting range for next week and then may decide the course from week starting 8th dec
support of upsloping pink T/L as per siple mathematical calculation is
support is moving up by by near 28.6 pts per day
T/L supp was at 8456 on 27th nov( 8429 were lows prev day 26 nov ..diff of 27pts)
support of T/L was near 8456 +28=8484 on friday 28th nov
will be near 8484+28=8512 on monday
and 8512+28=8540 on tuesday ...........D Day
For downward breakouts, use the lowest valley in the pattern as the target.(7422)
For upward breakouts, compute the difference between the highest peak (probably near 8660-90 range) and lowest valley (7422) in the pattern to get the height. Multiply the height by the “percentage meeting price target”(i.e 69%) and add it to the breakout price ( 8660) to get the price target of 9500.

Sunday, November 23, 2014

AN ASCENDING BROADENING WEDGE PATTERN DEVELOPING IN USD-INR 4 YEAR CHARTS

 KYA AISA HO SAKTA HAI??

AN ASCENDING BROADENING WEDGE PATTERN DEVELOPING IN USD-INR 4 YEAR CHARTS


MAY test lower T/L of pattern near 60 levels by mid jan 2015(trgt of bearish WW pattern)

then may move up a bit(small bounce to trap long posns)

trgts of this type of pattern on breakdown from lower T/L is generally the lowest point of pattern

trgt 48.60

BEARISH WW PATTERN IN USD-INR DAILY CHARTS

nifty views for next 2 weeks

expected path of nifty for next 2 weeks:

EXPANDING WEDGE PATTERN(Update)

highs made nearly touching upper T/L of wedge pattern were

8364 on 5th nov
8415 on 12th nov(nr 4 trading days for upmove of 51pts)
8454 on 18th nov(nr 4 trading days for upmove of 39pts)
8490 on 21st nov (3 + days done so far)
4 days will be done near 11am(+/-1hr) on monday 23rd nov

8454+39=8493
and 8454+51=8506

probably nifty may face res in 8493-8506 range on monday in b/w 10am -12noon

till expiry max upside within wedge may be 8540-50 range

similarly lows of 8321 and 8353(lower T/L) were made in 5 days gap
so on expiry (5 days from 20th) near 8385 will be support

possible move of nifty may be 8499-8433(till tuesday)-8493-8385/65 range till expiry

probable trading range for monday is 8499-8457 levels

since coming week is expiry week nifty will take its(hers) own course and may not follow global cues

after expiry again from next friday on 28th nifty may start its uptrend towards 8640 +/-20 range

Ascending Broadening Wedge Patterns

nifty daily charts

high made 

7700 on june 11th

8180 on 8th sep

upmove of 8180-7700=480 pts in nearly 3 months time

8180+480=8660

probable high will be near 8660

8660 will also be third test of upper T/L

and as per symmetry may be near 10th dec

huge caution need to be taken near 8660 levels

For downward breakouts, use the lowest valley in the pattern as the target.(7422)

For upward breakouts, compute the difference between the highest peak (probably near 8660) and lowest valley (7422) in the pattern to get the height. Multiply the height by the “percentage meeting price target”(i.e 69%) and add it to the breakout price ( 8660)
 get the price target of 9500

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

nifty

buy dips near 8417-12 range
cmp 8417
trgts 8436

sell 8436
trgts 8420
sl abv 8444

buy 8420
trgts 8460-68 range tomorrow
sl below 8407

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

nifty views update

tomorrow 8420 is critical levels to watch
if opens gapup near 8435-45 range then may dip towards 8420-25 range
 if takes support and break abv 8455 then may trgt 8500 intraday

if sustains abv 8455 then 8400 will be history this series
but if breaks below 8420 then may trgt 8390-70-50 intraday

possibility of nifty range for tomorrow is
8445-8360 or
8425-8500

Monday, November 17, 2014

NIFTY AND BANK NIFTY UPDATE

NIFTY VIEWS UPDATE
when nifty broke abv 8395 went upto 8409 retraced to 8400 and then zoom to 8438

breakout of CT has trgt 8381

double bottom pattern(though not copybook pattern but still pattern to pattern hi hota hai) trgts are 8415-8320=95 pts

8415+95=8510

tomorrow may probably be a tight range day and 8442-8390 may be broader trading range

abv 8442 trgts are 8465-8381-8510

some patterns developing are indicating that nifty may probably not dip below 8385 and will move up steadily towards 8623 levels till expiry day

corrections may come intraday and nifty may probably move up making HH nearly everyday

BANK NIFTY VIEWS:
BN channel trgts are 17875 on wednesday

channel is rising nearly 56 pts everyday

breakout of CT(nr 260pts) in Bn was done near 17570

trgts are 17570+260=17830(probably on thursday)

larger CT has trgts 17570+430=18000

OPTIONS O.I DATA
last nail in coffin of bears

today 8400 pe added more than 12lakhs in O.I and

8500pe addn was more than 5 lakhs

highest O.I in 8300pe near 63.8 lakhs with addn of more than 4.7 lakhs intraday 

BUY GPPL

BUY GUJARAT PIPAVAV PORT LTD(GPPL)
NEAR 173-175 RANGE
CMP 175.1
SL BELOW 167
TRGTS 195-200 PROBABLY THIS WEEK ONLY
MAY CONSOLIDATE IN 200-185 RANGE AND THEN
220-225 NEAR 1ST WEEK OF JANUARY

Sunday, November 16, 2014

NIFTY VIEWS UPDATE FOR NEXT WEEK

ON MONDAY NIFTY MAY TRADE IN 8430-8370 RANGE
ON MONDAY IF OPENS FLAT THEN BUY NIFTY AT 8383-89 RANGE FOR TRGTS 8430
SL 8376
MAY SELL NIFTY NEAR 8430 WITH SL ABV 8468
TRGTS 8375-70 RANGE
BUY ALL DIPS NEAR 8375-70 RANGE WITH SL BELOW 8352
TRGTS 8466
ON TUESDAY MAY PROBABLY TRGT 8466 NEAR LEVELS NEAR 1.30-2.30PM
SELL AGRESSIVELY NEAR 8466-8480 RANGE
SL ABV 8515
TRGTS 8405-8320-8240

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

silver gearing for Rs 10000 fall.........trgts 26000

this is not a call

just for learning purpose

fractals indicating slight possibility arising

may move up towards 36000 near levels first and then near Rs.
10000 fall may come 

will it come fast as did in apr-may 2013??

or

will it take its own sweet time??

nifty update

sell nifty near cmp 8407ns

sl abv 8427

trgts 8392-85 range

sustaining  below 8374 weakness may prevail for trgts 8330-20 intraday

Tuesday, November 11, 2014

nifty update

TOMORROW SELL NIFTY ON ANY UPMOVE IN 8376-8392 RANGE
SL 40 POINTS
TRGTS 8260 TILL TOMORROW EOD OR THURSDAY OPEN
MAY EVEN TRGT 8235
SAFE TRADERS MAY SELL WHEN NIFTY MOVES BELOW 8374 AFTER UPMOVE ABV 8376
nifty may show weakness for next 2-3 sessions

nifty views update

probable path of nifty for intraday
8351(done)-8373-8346-8410 till tomorrow
buy at cmp near 8353ns(sl below 8344) trgts 8370-75 range
sell near 8370-75 range sl abv 8384 trgts 8348-43 range
buy near 8343-48 range sl below 8310 trgts 8403-8423 tomorrow soon after open

Monday, November 10, 2014

nifty views update

Buy nifty on dips near 8310-8300 range(near 1.20pm)


trgts 8340-50 range intraday

may sell againnear 8340-50 range for trgts near 8266 till tomorrow

may buy agressively near 8266-75 range

trgts  abv 8384 will be 8500

trade with suitable sl as per ur risk capacity

hedge posn if carrying for next day

Friday, November 7, 2014

nifty update

ns cmp near 8341.
near a good intraday res...
may exit intraday longs......
first let it break and sust abv 8342 and then on some rerace will buy again...
if could not break abv it then 8280-70 possible on monday and then will do a HH( a bearish WW may develop)
a dip towards 8325 is possible agai from here now
will watch how nifty behaves there 
if didnt break below 8323 then will long again for 8361 intraday

JACKPOT TRADE

JACKPOT TRADE:
BUY 8400CE NEAR 70 CMP
TRGTS 210-240-270
SL 35
OR NS AT 8261
INTRADAY TRGTS 90
FROM MONDAY WILL TRADE ABV 100 AND THEN NO STOPPING

PROBABLY NIFTY MAY NOT BREAK BELOW 8303NS NOW ONWARDS

CMP 8320NS

nifty views updated

Ns cmp near 8318ns

may buy here or dips till 8290(days low so far)

trgts 8650-8700 till 20th nov 2014

sust abv 8329-33 res nifty will not look back

sl is below 8261

intraday may trgt 8360-65 range

and probably a gapup open on monday 

now onwards from next week  8350-60 range will form a base for next rally

sell agressively near 8650-8700 

will update more when nifty comes near 8650

Wednesday, November 5, 2014

bearish WW in Nifty

Bearish WW chart 



did a low near 8323 near 1.25pm



may do HH in 8378-8392 range near 10am on friday as per symmetry of pattern

correction of 80-100 points may be expected thereafter till monday and then upmove starts for 8430-60 range again

Sunday, November 2, 2014

nifty views (update)

my views based on fractals and some mathematical calculations
next week nifty may probably pause to take breath for another round of upmove later this month
on monday may face res near 8350-8365 range
next few days may be small tight range days
if opens gapup abv 8366 then may probably land at 8600 in few days
8365-8220 may be trading range........
option buyers need to be cautious
break of any may decide fate of nifty for coming days
next week has two holidays on tues and thursday
On Monday nifty probable trading range is 8358-8286
may sell on upmove near 8358-65 range
sl abv 8396
on dips may buy near 8286-8280 range
sl below 8248

Saturday, November 1, 2014

ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUT PATTERN IN NIFTY(UPDATE)

CONSIDERING b/0 point near 6345

trgts are

1.with lows of 5120
6345-5120=1225
6345+1225=7570
was nearly done on election result day(7564)
nifty corrected to 7118 from 7564
correction of 446 points

2.with lows of 4530
6345-4530=1815
6345+1815=8160
done and did a high near 8180
nifty corrected to 7724 from 8180
correction of 456 points

3. with lows of 2253
6345-2253=4092
6345+4092=10437
10437 is trgt of nifty and may probably reach there where both T/L meet.
i.e. at vertex of triangle
probably near sep 2015(my guess based on WW patterns)
as per symmetry of pattern so far corrections may be in vicinity of 450 points